Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.668933 0.854302 1.062594 1.311337 1.597666 1.914409 2.288727
2025-09-21 0.416860 0.648904 0.943040 1.331052 1.817387 2.395397 3.122623
2025-09-28 0.248088 0.481920 0.818245 1.305981 1.964840 2.795601 3.893240
2025-10-05 0.156200 0.382448 0.750479 1.330975 2.165248 3.267108 4.777475
2025-10-12 0.095233 0.302494 0.685707 1.340488 2.335158 3.702016 5.633510
2025-10-19 0.051110 0.226091 0.601375 1.299121 2.419116 4.017554 6.340834
2025-10-26 0.025896 0.170573 0.534222 1.268074 2.506934 4.334894 7.056686
2025-11-02 0.013364 0.136412 0.496632 1.277667 2.652592 4.736371 7.898505
2025-11-09 0.005005 0.100090 0.438452 1.236053 2.706725 5.000520 8.551415
2025-11-16 0.002361 0.086402 0.431008 1.289919 2.921142 5.511125 9.569633
2025-11-23 0.000650 0.068116 0.401874 1.292850 3.045202 5.885545 10.398648
2025-11-30 0.000233 0.062466 0.409520 1.374994 3.312841 6.491039 11.580667
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.053675 0.403415 1.427647 3.534663 7.039200 12.703644
2025-12-14 NaN 0.043456 0.386096 1.451399 3.704574 7.511000 13.726175
2025-12-21 NaN 0.031397 0.351381 1.426200 3.779262 7.830489 14.526648
2025-12-28 NaN 0.025188 0.338608 1.453486 3.955123 8.319739 15.595195
2026-01-04 NaN 0.019242 0.320930 1.463965 4.097027 8.755377 16.589024
2026-01-11 NaN 0.012363 0.286431 1.420171 4.125307 8.999543 17.290360
2026-01-18 NaN 0.007769 0.258218 1.387236 4.171390 9.272944 18.040712
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005454 0.245155 1.397489 4.307607 9.703897 19.045928
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002875 0.217392 1.353225 4.322398 9.922424 19.717131
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002340 0.219494 1.410558 4.562513 10.542708 21.039705
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001389 0.206986 1.413682 4.681512 10.950539 22.027379